Again, I think this is original. It's not that you can't learn from providence or make an educated guess but you can't prove anything simply from what happened. "My children are okay so my way of bringing them up must be right", etc. The example I like best is when you're playing tennis in the garden and there is a disputed call and so you play the point again and when it turns out in your favour you say "shows I was right". It doesn't, of course, at all.
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